Severe Weather Outlook

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Outlook for Friday, August 28

Outlook Summary

Isolated strong to severe storms are possible across northern Georgia into the Carolinas and the northern/central Plains.

Outlook Images

overview

any severe 5%

Detailed Outlook

SPC AC 261907

Day 3 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0207 PM CDT Wed Aug 26 2026

Valid 281200Z - 291200Z

THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS…AND FROM NORTH GA INTO SOUTHEAST VA

### SUMMARY

Isolated strong to severe storms are possible across northern Georgia into the Carolinas and the northern/central Plains.

Northern/Central Plains

An upper ridge, centered from the southern Rockies to the western Dakotas will persist on Friday. Some enhancement to west/northwesterly flow aloft is forecast, and a surface trough will develop across the northern and central High Plains. Southerly low-level flow to the east of the surface trough will transport 60s F dewpoints northward from the central into the northern Plains. As a low-level jet strengthens during the evening, thunderstorm development is possible. Capping may limit surface-based convection. However, forecast soundings indicate supercell wind profiles amid moderate instability and steep midlevel lapse rates. If storms develop, large hail will be possible.

North GA into southeast VA

Upper troughing will persist across the eastern U.S. on Friday. Surface high pressure will build over the Midwest while a surface trough extends from the southern Mid-Atlantic into the southern Appalachians. East of the trough, a very moist airmass will be in place. Daytime heating of this very moist/high PW airmass will support moderate destabilization, and thunderstorm clusters are expected to develop over higher terrain. Vertical shear will be weak, limiting organized convection. Nevertheless, wet microbursts could produce sporadic strong/locally damaging wind gusts.

..Leitman.. 08/26/2026

CLICK TO GET WUUS03 PTSDY3 PRODUCT

NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 3 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0730Z

National Risk Overview

Wednesday, August 26: TORNADO: low; HAIL: 15%; WIND: 15%
Thursday, August 27: TORNADO: 2%; HAIL: 5%; WIND: 15%
Friday, August 28: ANY SEVERE: 5%
Saturday, August 29: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Sunday, August 30: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Monday, August 31: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Tuesday, September 1: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low
Wednesday, September 2: ANY SEVERE: predictability too low

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